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barca had more of the ball and twice the shots, how did they lose the clasico??barca had more of the ball and twice the shots, how did they lose the clasico??
Reading the question· Barcelona v Real Madrid · LaLiga · 25 Oct
Pulling the shot map· 28 shots, each with its xG
Running the numbers· average chance per shot, by team
Checking every number· against the match data
Shot quality. Barcelona's 18 shots averaged about a 7% chance each. Madrid's 10 averaged 20%, nearly three times as dangerous, and Mbappé's winner was a 0.998 xG chance.
BarcelonaReal Madrid
18Shots10
1.19Expected goals1.95
7%Avg chance per shot20%
✓Every number checked against the match data
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02AI
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WWDWLW
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/90
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